Tight loss on Massu last night, and today nothing jumps out immediately as any sort of value. I've pondered over this short priced double and decided to go ahead with it.
Cilic is obviously a better player than Kunitsyn. When put on a surface he loves and in Zagreb then he looks an absolute lock today. He is the current champion of this event is slowly regaining his form with a good showing at the Australian Open which included a tough win against American John Isner. On a court which he clearly loves, having won back to back titles this will be too tough a match for Kunitsyn to cope with. Kunitsyn struggles big time outside of his homeland, he has been reduced to challengers infact and when he has got into an ATP main draw he has struggled outside of Russia. Cilic is just too strong for Kunitsyn here.
Bellucci just loves the South American clay. It's his favourite period in the year and he is the defending champion in Santiago. He looked clinical in dispatching Volandri in the first round and although Machado will be a step up he shouldn't significantly worry the Brazilian. Machado plys his trade mostly on the chalenger circuit and his only decent showing last year on the ATP tour was in Estoril where he won a couple of matches. But this is an entirely different proposition as he is meeting a confident young player who is a beast on the South American red stuff and will be higlhy motivated to defend the points in which he earned last year.
Cilic to bt Kunitsyn and Bellucci to bt Machado 2.5 pts Double @ 1.47 (Paddypower)
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